Friday, January 10, 2014

Thursday night weather update for NJ metro

Latest post: 11:55pm -- 1/9/2014

Temperatures are below freezing across the entire area as of 11pm tonight... in the upper teens to upper 20s. (Westhampton L.I. is the cold spot, at 8 degrees)
Clouds are overspreading the region now, and all temperatures should not fall more during the night.

Some light snow is falling in Pennsylvania as of 11pm as well...
Much of the weather data is showing this area of snow to evaporate overnight as it reaches NJ/NYC and Long Island...
However, a few flurries are possible (40% chance). I am thinking that freezing rain is an even lower chance (30%).

I am thinking the best opportunity for light snow and/or flurries will  begin between 7am - 8am Friday. I feel the chance for freezing rain is low. (30% chance once again).

*** The NWS has issued a freezing rain advisory from 3am to 9am only for central and western NJ if this low chance does verify. ***

Precipitation will change to light rain in southern NJ around 8am, central NJ, NYC and Long Island around 9am, and for northern NJ between 10am - 11am.
Only isolated areas may receive a glaze of ice, and/or a coating of snow, mainly on grassy surfaces.
Light rain may continue from time to time in the afternoon for all areas, with the temperature reaching 40 degrees by late in the day.

*** A stronger weather system moves in for the weekend ***
Showers may arrive as early as midnight Friday night, with readings remaining steady, or slowly rising into the lower 40s.

Saturday will be wet...
Showers are expected in the morning, with a steady to heavy rain beginning between 2 and 3pm.
High temperatures top out in the mid- to upper 50s, with a few locations touching 60 degrees in the afternoon.

Winds increase to 25 - 35mph, with some higher gusts possible, particularly along the coast.
Rainfall amounts of 1 inch will be common, with some areas receiving between 1.50 to 2 inches.

Wet weather chances end between 9 - 10pm.
Gusty winds continue Saturday night.

Sunday remains windy, but forecasted to be dry and mild. Highs reach the upper 40s to lower 50s.

The new work-week remains mild and dry with similar temperatures.

*** The Tuesday through Friday time frame next week is likely to turn much colder ***
There is also the chance for snow or rain, with the details of this highly uncertain as of this time...

Future posts will update this forecast.

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