Posted: 11:50am -- 1/28/2014
Details will still have to be ironed out later this afternoon, but here is my current thinking...
Clouds will be lowering and thickening during the day today.
A brisk breeze and highs mainly between 15 - 20 degrees keeps it a very cold winter afternoon.
*** The storm in the southeastern United States will have some impacts for parts of our area tonight into Wednesday morning ***
Light snow begins to move into southern New Jersey around 8pm...
Long Island and New York City are expected to see the light snow around 9pm.
Essex, Bergen, Hudson, and Passaic counties are also expected to see some flakes fly around this time.
The light snow should also extend further west into central New Jersey, from Monmouth county through Mercer county between 9 and 10pm.
It will be determined by weather models later this afternoon if the snow can make it into the remaining counties of Morris, Sussex, Warren, and Hunterdon in the Garden state.
At the least some flurries are likely in these locations.
The light snow should end between 4am and 6am Wednesday.
The best chance for accumulating snow is for southern NJ, from Ocean county, and points south to Cumberland, Atlantic, and Cape May counties -- where 1 to 3 inches are possible.
** A winter weather advisory is in effect from 5pm Tuesday to 5am Wednesday for these areas. ***
Areas on Long Island from eastern Nassau through Suffolk county can see similar snow amounts. A winter weather advisory may be issued for Long Island later today.
For NYC and northeast NJ (Essex, Hudson, Union, and Bergen counties), up to 1 inch can fall.
For areas further to north and west, including Middlesex, Somerset and Mercer counties, a dusting up to an inch is expected.
For northwest, and northern NJ, from Hunterdon to Warren, Sussex and northern Passaic counties, accumulations are not forecast at this time, unless a further westward shift in the snow is noted.
Another update will be posted around 5pm today.