Tuesday, January 14, 2014

Major storms not in sight for NJ metro

Latest post: 6:15pm -- 1/14/2014

Weather update:

Rain ending for NJ metro...

The next 2 systems will have little to no impact for our area....
The jet-stream is not positioning itself in an ideal location for a major storm...

As my previous posts have discussed, the alignment of the jet-stream, and which jet-stream is the more dominant one, determines the track and strength of the individual disturbances that move along it...

Wednesday's weather system is moving quickly with the northern jet-stream across the Great Lakes, so it will have little to no moisture left when it arrives here. So, only some clouds are expected tomorrow, with perhaps a flurry or sprinkle, particularly for northwestern parts of the Garden state tomorrow evening or tomorrow night.

Thursday's weather system does have a bit of help from the southern part of the jet-stream, but moves too far to our east, and travels out to sea.

Friday's disturbance, again, is primarily tracking along the Great Lakes, so only some clouds move in by the end of the week.

*** A  stronger storm not a certainty for the weekend ***
For this to occur, the next low-pressure area needs assistance from the southern jet-stream, and more moisture from the Gulf of Mexico....
Weather data from today continues against this scenario.

*** No arctic air expected through the weekend ***
Weather models have delayed the southward movement of the polar vortex. Day-time temperatures should be in the 40s through Friday, with upper 30s to around 40 degree-temperatures for Saturday and Sunday.

More details as necessary.

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