Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Monday night update on the NJ metro snow-storm

Latest post: 11:00pm -- 1/20/2014


Weather update:
Everything appears on track...

*** WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10AM TUESDAY UNTIL 6AM WEDNESDAY ***

Mainly cloudy skies tonight, with falling temperatures into the 20s overnight...
Wake-up temperatures (7am) will be in the lower 20s.
The commute into work is expected to have no weather impacts, as it will remain precipitation-free...

Thinking only flurries or very light snow will fall from around 10am through 3pm -- as dry air prevents heavier precipitation from occurring...
I do not see more than a coating to an inch at the most during this time frame.

Weather conditions will begin to deteriorate around 3 or 4pm or so ... as snow begins to fall steadily, and visibilities are reduced.
Snowfall accumulations through 4pm should range between 1 - 2 inches.

*** The peak of the storm occurs between 5pm and midnight ***
Most of our snow-fall totals will happen during this time.

Based on the latest Monday night data, here are the updated snowfall amounts:

Northwest NJ (Sussex, Warren counties): 4 - 6 inches.

Remainder of NJ : 6 - 8 inches, with some spots between 8 - 10 inches in southern and east/coastal NJ.

NYC/ Nassau county, Long Island: 6 - 8 inches

Suffolk county, Long Island: 7 - 9 inches -- with some spots on the extreme eastern end seeing 10 to 12 inches.

Snow ends between 1 and 2am early Wednesday morning.

Winds will remain a factor even after the snow ends, further reducing visibilities due to blowing snow.

I will post another update Tuesday morning...

Goodnight!

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