Monday, January 20, 2014

Monday afternoon update on the snow for NJ metro

Posted: 12:30pm -- 1/20/2014

Sunshine and clouds will fill the sky this afternoon...
Many areas will top out between 40 and 45 degrees, with some northwestern sections of NJ perhaps holding in the upper 30s.

*** A strong cold front moves through tonight ***
Some flurries are possible this evening, as it crosses the area. Winds turn gusty tonight, with the temperatures falling through the 30s and 20s overnight.  Temperatures are expected to be in the teens for much of the region by wake-up on Tuesday morning.

** Accumulating snow Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night **

The Tuesday morning commute into work will be dry ...
Light snow and flurries begin around 10am for central and southern NJ, and for the rest of the Garden state, NYC, and Long Island, by 11am...
Light snow continues through 2pm or so, with only a coating expected through this time.

Steady to moderate snow will fall during the mid- to late afternoon, through the evening... with slippery conditions for the ride home from work.
By 4pm or so, 1 to 3 inches are expected...
It is after this time --  generally between 5pm and midnight, that most of our total snowfall will accumulate...

Based on the Monday morning weather data... here are the predicted amounts:

Northern and northwestern NJ: 4 inches
Central New Jersey, NYC, and Nassau county of Long Island: 4 - 7 inches, with the higher end for Nassau county
Southern New Jersey, and eastern Long Island (Suffolk county) is expected to see 7 to 10 inches.

Although the storm is less than 24 hours from arriving, more data this afternoon, as well as radar images, will help any adjustments made to my current forecast.

I will post an update after 5pm this afternoon.

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