Thursday, January 9, 2014

Thursday afternoon weather update for NJ metro


Latest post: 4:30pm -- 1/9/2014

The temperature made it to the freezing mark today, and above 32 degrees for several locations, in the Garden state this afternoon...

Our dry weather will soon be ending ... with two weather systems to affect NJ metro in the next 48 hours or so...

Clouds will be increasing later on, and become cloudy tonight...
Temperatures overnight will hover around 32 degrees, or even dip below the freezing mark.
A weather disturbance is producing some light snow in the Ohio Valley, and some light rain in the southern United States. This area of precipitation is moving our way.

Courtesy: NWS, Mount Holly, NJ
...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST FRIDAY.
** This includes north/central and western NJ, but does NOT include NYC and Long Island **

My thinking is this ...
The air is very dry as of 4pm today ...
This could delay precipitation closer to 7 or 8am Friday.
By then, some light snow or flurries are possible, with freezing rain less likely.

Morning temps. begin in the upper 20s to the lower 30s.
The chance for a glaze of ice is 20% or less.
The chance for a coating of snow, mainly on grassy surfaces, is 30% or less.

By 9 or 10am, readings should be above 32 degrees for all areas, which will change any frozen precipitation over to rain.
Light rain is likely to continue into the afternoon.
High temperatures top out in the lower 40s later in the day, when some sun may appear as well.

*** A stronger weather system approaches this weekend ***
Some rain may move in as early as midnight Friday night...
Temperatures remain steady around 40 degrees.

Saturday is expected to see some showers in the morning...
A break in the wet weather may occur briefly from late morning into early in the afternoon.
However, a steady, to heavy rain, arrives between 2 - 3pm.
High temperatures rise into the 50s.
Winds will be gusty all day, reaching between 25 - 35mph.

The rain is forecast to end between 9 and 10pm Saturday night.
Rainfall amounts of 1 inch are likely, with some spots receiving 2 inches.

Sunday is forecast to see the return of sunshine, with windy conditions continuing.
Temperatures for the second half of the weekend top out in the upper 40s and lower 50s.

The new for-week begins dry on Monday, along with similar temperatures.
The weather models differ on whether another storm may arrive for Tuesday.

** A cold front likely to bring temperatures back down into the 20s and lower 30s for Wednesday **
The colder weather continues through the end of next week.
There may also be some snow.
Details on this in the coming days.

An update on the weather systems for tomorrow and this weekend will be posted tonight.




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