Friday, January 17, 2014

Friday afternoon weather update for NJ metro

Latest post: 12:35pm -- 1/17/2014

Weather update: A nice afternoon to end the week...
Highs top out in the mid- 40s for most areas.
Sunshine will give way to an increase in clouds later on... the day is expected to remain dry.

*** A quick-moving weather system arrives late tonight, and leaves Saturday morning ***
Weather models are in general agreement that light precipitation arrives between 3 and 4am Saturday morning and exits around 10-11am Saturday.
Temperatures during this time will be in the low and mid-30s.

Most areas are forecast to see light rain in New Jersey and Long Island, including New York City...
For northern areas of the Garden state, such as Morris, northern Passaic, and northern Bergen counties, a mix of rain and snow is likely. Only a slushy coating is possible.
For Sussex and Warren counties, light snow may accumulate to a coating up to an inch, particularly on grassy areas. 

Saturday afternoon turns out partly sunny, with gusty winds, and highs between 40 and 45 degrees.

*** A second weekend weather disturbance arrives***
Once again, this is another fast-moving system...

Clouds move in Saturday night..
Sunday will be mainly cloudy and windy.
Some flurries are possible.
Temperatures top out around 40 degrees.
Wind gusts can reach up to 25mph at times. Wind-chill readings drop into the 20s.

*** Increasing confidence of much colder weather for next week***
Monday will be the mildest day of the week, with highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s...
A strong cold front arrives Monday afternoon and evening...
Some flurries or snow-showers are possible as the front moves through... 

The northern jet-stream will be responsible for our new arctic outbreak, and continue to shut off the Gulf of Mexico...

This means very cold afternoons in the upper teens to mid -20s, and frigid nights, with lows dropping into the single digits to around 10 degrees for Tuesday through Friday.
Weather systems will also lack moisture, as the southern branch of the jet-stream will not be able to participate. Therefore, only some flurries from time to time are expected Tuesday, and then again on Thursday and Friday.

More details as necessary.

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