Saturday, December 29, 2012

More snowfall totals


Click on the link below to see how much snow New Jersey received...

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=PHI&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0



Snowfall reports for New Jersey

Here are some snowfall reports for NJ/ NYC Metro area...
Click on the link below:

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS

Still some snow for New Jersey



Snow update: Looking like 3-inch snow amounts will only occur in isolated areas -- with more common amounts of 1 or 2 inches for Central New Jersey/NYC and Long Island....
Radar has recently shown a lessening of the snow area.

New Jersey snow


Radar image as of this post: 12:45pm - 12-29-2012.

Saturday snow update: No major changes will be posted... Accumulations of 3 inches will be common across Central New Jersey, NYC and Western Long Island, with little to no snow for Southern New Jersey, and Eastern Long Island, where mostly rain is expected. Major roads and highways will be wet and slushy, but secondary roads and sidewalks will be slippery. The snow should end around 7pm for most of New Jersey, and around 9pm - 10pm for NYC and Long Island respectively.
Updates will be posted as needed.

Update on Saturday snow for New Jersey

With regard to the accumulations, the main roads should be mainly wet to slushy, and no major problems.  Some secondary roads, side-streets, and sidewalks will be slippery.

Some snow for the Garden state


Original radar image time: 8:45am - 12/29/2012

Snow update for Saturday: Everything appears to be on schedule with this quick-moving storm.
Snow will move in this morning -- first in southern NJ, where some rain could mix in at the start, and then into northern NJ, NYC and Long Island respectively. 
Snow will fall throughout the afternoon across much of the Garden state. I am continuing the 1 - 3 inch accumulation prediction for much of the NJ/NYC/Long Island area.
The snow will be over by around 7pm in NJ, but will last a bit longer for NYC and Long Island.
Updates will be posted as needed.

Wednesday, December 26, 2012

Nor'easter for New Jersey

Time of image: 7:30am 12/26/2012


Weather update: Everything appears to be on schedule with this storm as per my previous post.
There are some changes with this post, particularly with snowfall, as temperatures will be a little colder for a little while longer... so be aware of some reduced visibilities later today, when the snow begins...
Snowfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches will be common across much of the Central NJ counties before the changeover...
Farther north and west, snow amounts could reach 3 or 4 inches...
Heavy rain will will be likely once the changeover occurs, and strong wind gusts over 40mph will be common for the entire Garden state tonight and early tomorrow morning.
Updates will be posted this evening.

Tuesday, December 25, 2012

A soaker for New Jersey

Time of image at posting time: 4:30pm Tuesday 12/25/2012


Weather update: A strong storm system will be affecting the Garden state Wednesday and Wednesday night....
Rain will begin around 1 or 2pm Wednesday, and continue through Wednesday night, and end around daybreak on Thursday. Rainfall amounts will be between 1 and 2 inches, along with strong winds. The peak of the storm will occur between 10pm Wednesday night and 7am Thursday morning, when winds will be gusting to over 40mph.
Some snow or sleet could occur at the beginning of the storm, particularly in far northern New Jersey, but accumulations will be limited to under an inch before the changeover.
Details will be updated as conditions warrant.

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Tuesday morning will be wet for New Jersey


Original radar image as of this post: 8:15am -- 11/13/2012


Umbrella weather will be overhead for the Garden state through about noon...
The good news is that you can take out the sunglasses for the rest of the week, but a jacket will be required until further notice, as temps will be in the 40s and 50s during the day, with low temperatures at night dropping into the 30s.

Monday, November 12, 2012

Some rain for New Jersey


Original radar image as of this post: 5:45pm - 11/12/2012


Weather update: A quick-moving weather system will provide some showers late tonight for the Garden state -- beginning around 2am or so -- and some wet weather is expected for the morning on Tuesday. Cooler temperatures will move in tomorrow as well. The rest of the week will be sunny and cool, with highs around 50 degrees or so in the afternoon. Night-time lows will drop into the 30s.

Thursday, November 8, 2012

Nicer weather for New Jersey

 By the way -- the weather will be getting much better by Friday -- and we could see 60 degrees over the weekend, and 70-degree temperatures for the start of the new work-week!!!

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

New Nor'Easter update


Original radar image from 6pm Wednesday - 11/7/2012.

Update on the Snow-r-easter -- (play-on words) -- This has been a storm that was only forecasted correctly (for the most part) the morning it arrived -- just goes to show you that forecasting weather is a 24/7 process...
Snow has been the main impact from the storm for much of the day -- which will continue through around midnight. Total snowfall amounts for the Garden state will be between 1 and 3 inches -- with some higher amounts, especially in Northern NJ. If there is a silver lining to this storm, the winds so far have not reached the gusts predicted, but still have some time to do this for the evening and early tonight (40 - 50mph possible, especially right along the coast, and Eastern Long Island).
Updates may be posted again later this evening if conditions warrant.

New Jersey and the new storm

Time of radar image at original post: 8:30am Wednesday - 11/7/2012


New Nor'easter Update: The storm may be setting up in a way that precipitation would fall as wet snow for a good part of the Garden state for much of the afternoon. If it will snow hard enough, then it will stick. Accumulations could reach 1 to 3 inches for much of New Jersey, mainly on grassy and non-paved surfaces, with some higher amounts possible, north and west of Mercer and Middlesex counties. New York City and Long Island can see a coating of snow as well. Rainfall amounts will therefore be reduced to around half and inch, since much of the storms' precipitation could be in the form of snow. Be alert of quickly-changing weather conditions, and use caution when driving, as winds winds will be strong, and visibilities reduced.
Storm surge and beach erosion will also have impacts for coastal New Jersey, and all waterways of NYC and Long Island.
Updates will be posted later this evening.

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

New Nor'easter back on track for New Jersey









New Nor'Easter update: The weather models appear to have settled into a common storm track - which will have a number of weather impacts for the NJ/NYC/Long Island area... rain/wind/and... snow.
The most recent data points to a track that will NOT be out to sea, and rather a closer-to-the coast scenario. This means that rain and wind are now pretty much a certainty for the above-mentioned areas -- with a good chance of seeing some falling snow, and minimal accumulations. 
The timeline is around 8am Wednesday for southern NJ, moving north into the rest of NJ, NYC and Long Island by around 10am-Noon.

The areas that will see the heaviest rain will be extreme southern NJ, and Eastern Long Island, where 2 to 3 inches of rain is likely, along with wind gusts over 50mph -- This also includes shore areas from Sandy Hook and points south.
60mph wind gusts are possible on extreme Eastern Long Island.

For Central and Northern NJ, as well as NYC, 1 - 1.5 inches of rain along with 40-50 mph wind gusts are likely. This includes the Jersey shore, from Sandy hook points North, as well as all waterways around NYC and Long Island.

Also included in this storm is the chance for snow. From Monmouth county NJ and points south, as well as Long Island, snow is not likely. For the rest of the Garden state, 1 inch amounts are possible, with up to 3 -inch amounts also not out of the question for counties North and West of Middlesex and Mercer counties. New York City might see some snow falling, but should melt on the city streets.

This is a very complex storm, and more updates will be posted.

Important to note: Scattered power outages, and downed trees are possible in all areas, especially for Eastern Lon Island.
Storm surge will be an issue for all shore areas during the time of high tide.

Change of course for Nor'Easter and New Jersey?

This is a depiction of an American weather model (GFS) generated at 7pm Monday evening -- for 4pm Wednesday afternoon --- it shows the storm possibly giving only a minimal impact for New Jersey.
More consistency with other weather models is needed before the scenario is considered a certainty.

Monday, November 5, 2012

How will the new Nor'easter impact New Jersey?

Note: The original posting of this satellite image was 5:50pm - Monday November 5th, 2012.

New Nor'Easter update: The forecasted track has been slightly to the east from previous days... If this trend continues, most of New Jersey and the Jersey shore may not see the worst conditions...and that NYC, Long Island and Connecticut would feel the brunt of the storm. The timeline for the Nor'Easter to arrive is during the afternoon Wednesday -- with rain moving in after lunch-time, which could be heavy, especially for New York City and points east Wednesday evening, Wednesday night, into Thursday morning.
Winds will be gusty as well, especially on Long Island and Connecticut.
The details will continue to be more specific as the weather models agree more on the track of the storm.
My next posting will be around 10pm...

Sunday, November 4, 2012

New Jersey and the next Nor'Easter


Weather update: The next Nor'Easter is still on schedule to affect the New Jersey/NYC area during Wednesday -- beginning after lunch-time, with the peak of the storm occurring Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Heavy rain, gusty winds, and, unfortunately, more beach erosion, is expected for most of the Jersey shore and Long Island.
Updates will continue to be posted in the coming days.

A new Nor'Easter will affect New Jersey



As of this posting the storm is just now entering the Pacific Northwest United States...

Monday, October 29, 2012

Sandy and New Jersey - perfect together?


Initial radar image: 12:45pm Monday 10/29/2012
Hurricane Sandy to make landfall near Atlantic City around 4pm (10/29/2012).

Saturday, October 27, 2012

Sandy and New Jersey...


Hurricane Sandy update: Sandy will be transitioning into a very strong Nor'Easter as it makes its way to toward the East Coast. This transition will not undermine the effects it will have for the East coast.
Rain will begin to overspread the Atlantic City and Philadelphia area between 10am and 1pm respectively -- generally on the light side - wind speeds for these areas will be between 10 and 20 mph for much of Sunday afternoon.
It could take much of the rest of the day (still uncertain) for New Jersey to get in on the rain for Sunday...
By Sunday night, especially after midnight, from Washington D.C.., to Philadelphia, all of New Jersey, NYC, and Long Island, winds will be increasing to between 20 and 40mph -- as rain intensity becomes heavier as well.
By the morning commute on Monday, all of the above areas will be experiencing tropical force sustained winds and heavy rain. From this time moving forward, for approximately 12 hours, rain will
be heavy, as winds continue to gradually increase to between 50 and 60mph by the afternoon commute. The center of Sandy is expected to make landfall in New Jersey or Delaware by around 9pm on Monday. From around 5pm to 9pm on Monday, areas in NJ, particularly Southern New Jersey, could see wind gusts to 75mph. Total rainfall amounts will be highest in Central and Southern NJ, perhaps reaching 10 inches, with the rest of the Garden state seeing total rainfall amounts between 3 and 6 inches.
To recap, rain and wind will be increasing after 11am Monday, with the peak of the storm between 5pm and 11pm Monday.
The storm will still be around on Tuesday, with rain and wind gusts to at least 40mph...
The storm only winds down by Wednesday.
More update will be posted to fine-tune the details.

Track of Sandy toward New Jersey


Hurricane Sandy update: Sandy is on track to begin affecting Washington D.C., and Philadelphia by Sunday afternoon, all of New Jersey and New York City by Sunday evening and Sunday night respectively. Rain and wind are not expected to be particularly heavy at these times -- reaching between 20 and 30mph .. but will increase in intensity overnight Sunday...
By 6am Monday, wind speeds are expected to reach 40mph in Washington and Philadelphia, as the rain will heavy in these area at this time as well.
New Jersey and NYC will begin to feel the increases in wind and rain intensity around, or shortly after the Monday morning commute ...
I wil attempt to provide a more specific timeline, rainfall amounts, and wind speeds for the major metro areas during the day today...
One thing of important note: Be aware of slippery sidewalks and roadways from existing, and falling leaves, which will become wet...

Sandy's specifics...




Just wanted to pass along some of the current specifics on Sandy's current location  -- as per the National Hurricane Center's 11pm Friday night statement:

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 415
MILES...665 KM.

Friday, October 26, 2012

Sandy satellite picture


Hurricane Sandy transitioning into a "sub" or "non"-tropical system...

Sandy moving toward New Jersey



This is the track of Sandy as per the National Hurricane Center issued at 5pm Friday..

New Jersey in the path of Sandy

This model data shows a similar scenario and outcome with Hurricane Sandy for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast (i.e.: Washington D.C., Philadelphia, all of New Jersey, New York City, and Boston, for Monday through Wednesday... )
Sandy will become "extra-tropical" in the next 48 hours, and will transition into more of a "Nor'Easter". The transition to this is by no means a reason to think that the storm is in a weakened state. In fact, the storm is expected to intensify by Sunday into a large, windy, wet, and "deep" weather system, and will approach the above areas by Monday. There remains differences as to where the location of landfall will be, but the point of this location does not diminish the effects that the Northeast will feel -- and are slowly becoming clearer, and will be detailed tonight or tomorrow.

High-percentage impacts in NJ from Sandy

Hurricane Sandy update: The percentage for a high-impact event continues to increase for Sandy to affect areas from Washington D.C. to Maine. Most of the weather models bring the center of Sandy ashore in New Jersey or Long Island. The specific details of wind speeds and rainfall amounts will be clearer later today.

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Increasing threat for New Jersey from Sandy

Take a look at one of the weather models' "picture" of what Sandy will look like on Monday afternoon...

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Will Hurricane Sandy affect New Jersey?


My first post on the possible impacts for the Northeast from now-hurricane Sandy may be issued tonight... But more likely tomorrow...

Friday, October 19, 2012


Radar update: The rain from western NJ has made its way into Central and Northern 

parts of the Garden state, and has been heavy ... The rain will actually END over the 

next hour.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Will rain for New Jersey be gone in time for the weekend??


Radar image as of posting: 5pm ... (The radar will update every 15 minutes or so.)


Rain will be moving into the Garden state around, or shortly after midnight ... and will get heavy towards dawn.  The heaviest rain will fall between 4am and 9am -- with scattered lighter showers for the late morning thru the afternoon.

The weekend looks better, with highs in the 60s to around 70 degrees.  Saturday could see a shower -- Sunday looks to be the brighter of the two days.

Tuesday, October 16, 2012



New Jersey will see nice weather for the middle of the week...

Sunny skies will continue for Wednesday and much of Thursday afternoon, before the next storm brings rain to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast for Thursday night and Friday.

Temperatures will reach the 60s on Wednesday, to perhaps 70 for the end of the week.
The storm system is expected to clear the area later Friday.

More on the upcoming weekend weather in my next post.

Saturday, October 13, 2012

New Jersey will be warmer for Sunday



Posted radar image: 10:25pm

Temperatures were in the 50s for the first part of the weekend, but Sunday will see highs around 70 for much of the Garden state.  The day will start out with some clouds, fog, drizzle, or maybe even a shower, but much of Sunday will see sunshine.

The start of the new workweek will see some rain -- more on this in my next posting.

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Up-and-Down temps. for New Jersey


Temperatures in the Garden state recovered to the 60s on Wednesday as we finally saw the sun for the first time in three days.
A cold front crossing the area this evening will cause a slight drop in afternoon temperatures on Thursday and Friday -- but both days will see plenty of sunshine.

A second cold front will move through the Northeast on Friday resulting in a cool but bright start to the weekend.
Warmer weather is expected in Sunday with highs in the 70s -- and, NO RAIN!!!  Enjoy!

Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Will New Jersey have brighter skies ahead?


It is true that Florida is called the Sunshine state -- but will the gray skies ever clear up in New Jersey? Can we put on a happy face?
The satellite picture does show improvement to our west, and Wednesday has the opportunity for some breaks in the clouds, and milder temperatures.

The weather for the weekend will discussed in my next posting...

Monday, October 8, 2012

New Jersey will get rain ... light rain


6pm Monday radar image

Clouds have dominated much of Monday afternoon, as a storm system off the Mid-Atlantic coast takes  shape.  Thunderstorms in the Carolinas are proof of a healthy area of low pressure.  This weather system will move more out to sea than up the coast, so the Garden state will only see some light rain tonight into Tuesday morning.   "Whether" the Jets will beat the Titans tonight is not for me to predict.

Saturday, October 6, 2012


New Jersey weekend weather looks good ... for now.

A band of clouds stretches from New England to Atlanta Georgia...
This is in association with a weak weather system which will move through the Garden state later Saturday afternoon and evening...
There is only a 20% chance of rain as this front passes .

Cooler air will arrive tonight ... which will set up a chilly day on Sunday.  Rain will knock on our door-step by late morning, and high temperatures will stay in the 50s, along with a gusty wind.  It is, after all, autumn, right?
More on this to come.

Friday, October 5, 2012



Weather changes coming for New Jersey...

The end of the work-week will be warm and sunny with highs reaching 80 degrees or higher.
The beginning of the weekend will be the nicer of the 2 days -- with temperatures in the mid- 70s -- and just the slight chance of a late-day or evening shower.

Sunday will  remind us that it is in fact the autumn season, with perhaps even a touch of winter in the air, as rain is likely, and highs staying in the 50s along with a brisk breeze.  Updates will be posted later today and tomorrow.

Thursday, October 4, 2012

NJ expecting more rain...



See the rain stretching from lower Michigan to Kansas? This weather system will arrive over the weekend ... Find out in my next posting which weekend day will see the wet weather!

The weather in New Jersey will experience a few changes from Thursday into next week...

Muggy weather will be with us tomorrow with a chance for some rain...
The humidity will break on Friday with summer-like temperatures of 80 degrees or higher.
Cooler weather will be felt over the weekend, with Saturday being the nicer of the 2 days, as rain returns for Sunday.
Temperatures could start out in the upper 30s in some NJ areas Monday morning, with a sunny and cool afternoon. Warmer weather is expected for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

Saturday, September 29, 2012



Weekend weather story for the Garden state:
Both days will see a mix of clouds and sun -- Saturday is expected to stay dry -- Sunday has a 30% chance for scattered showers... More updates to follow. 

Temperatures will be around 70 degrees both days.

Friday, September 28, 2012

More rain for the Garden State



Wet weather moved away Thursday morning ... but as the 11 o'clock hour has approached, radar shows more rain is approaching New Jersey ... and will be with us for most of the day Friday.

The weekend weather is looking a bit more optimistic, but the fine details are still in question.  It will not be a wash-out by any means, but the umbrella could come in handy a couple of time early Saturday and during the afternoon on Sunday.  More on this on my next posting.

Thursday, September 27, 2012

New Jersey rain moving away .. for now



The radar picture as of 8:30am Thursday morning shows rain about to exit the Garden state in the next 30 minutes or so...
However,  more wet weather on the left part of the screen in Ohio is the next weather system ready to move in later Thursday night and into the first part of Friday. Rain is likely during this time.

The weekend forecast remains uncertain, with better details expected for my next posting.

Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Next New Jersey weather system



Clouds stretch from Missouri to West Virginia this Tuesday morning...

This area of clouds will move in tonight and likely give the Garden state some rain on Wednesday  -- with the best time for rain occurring late in the day and at night - but the umbrella might also be necessary in the morning as well.
This same weather front will stall when in moves through Thursday morning, and will provide the next low pressure system to ride its way into NJ for Friday.

The weekend forecast is unclear (it may become cloudy again) -- with rain possible.
Details for the weekend will be updated later this week.

Sunday, September 23, 2012

New Jersey chill

The new fall season will have a bit of a winter-like feel in the air, with many New Jerseyeans waking up to temperatures in the 40s on Monday morning along with a sunny sky...


New Jersey weather will be nice and fall-like the next few days...


United States satellite picture is storm-free for the most part...

Saturday, September 22, 2012



Rain beginning to wind down across the Garden state .. will be done shortly.

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NJZ007&warncounty=NJC041&firewxzone=NJZ007&local_place1=&product1=Severe+Thunderstorm+Warning
Parts of NJ are under a severe thunderstorm warning... click on the link above for more information.


New Jersey weather system moving in...

As of around 4:30pm Saturday afternoon, a cold front is approaching the Northeast United States, but should weaken as it moves into New Jersey...
While a shower or thunderstorm is possible, this system is a quick mover, and will be gone by wake-up Sunday morning... and another nice day is in store for the second half of the weekend...

The next chance for wet weather could come by Wednesday.

Friday, September 21, 2012


New Jersey weather -- from Chicago

You are looking at a radar picture as of 9:30am Friday morning from Chicago, Illinois -- this is the weather system which is likely to give us some rain in New Jersey late Saturday or Saturday night -- but will move away quickly -- and have the sun return on Sunday.

Thursday, September 20, 2012

The NJ weekend weather system from Space...



In the middle of this picture (in white) are clouds associated with the next quick weather-maker -- which should only have minimal impacts (a few showers) for New Jersey, and will still keep 80% of the weekend dry.

Weekend Weather System

If you look closely, you will  find the United States.... and if you look even closer, you will se NJ to the right of the map...
         A weather system indicated by the green color in NY and PA (which is actually a forecasted area for rain) will be moving in later Saturday or Saturday night.  Indications are that the rain will move in and out fairly quickly, so that Sunday should also turn out fairly nice.  More details to come.

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Now for your local New Jersey weather ...

Nice weather is expected for the next 2 days to close out the work-week...
The weekend is expected to start out nicely .. with rain expected to hold off until later Saturday or Saturday night...

Details for Sunday's weather are still in question.
Updates for the second part of the weekend will be posted as more weather data becomes available...


Cool weather looks to start the new work-week.
Yom Kippur look dry with seasonable temperatures.