Latest post: 6:35pm -- 10/5/2013
Noticing a shower or two across extreme northwestern New Jersey as of 6:15pm or so...
Clouds will be moving in tonight to areas that have remained mainly clear during the daylight hours, and a spotty shower can fall for a few spots overnight...
I am thinking that Sunday is not going to be as bright as Saturday, and, once again, the chance at least exists for a passing shower or thunderstorm for the area (about a 30% probability).
** Our highest chance of rain in over two weeks will occur Monday and Monday night **
The latest weather maps have focused their attention more on the approaching front rather than the moisture from currently tropical-storm Karen.
In fact, Karen will weaken quicker than originally expected, and take more of an easterly track once it makes landfall near the Louisiana/Mississippi border, and move off the southeast coast and lose all tropical characteristics.
The front has been responsible for heavy rain and severe weather across the northwest, and the Plain states the last couple of days, and will continue to pose a heavy rain threat for our area as well.
The faster timing was adjusted in my last post, and it is generally agreed upon by the weather models that the heavy rain will arrive between 3 - 5pm Monday, and end between midnight and 2am Tuesday morning. Isolated amounts of 1.5 inches are possible, but a more common 0.5 to 1 inch of much-needed rain is likely. Some ponding on roadways can be expected.
More details later tonight.