Friday, October 4, 2013

A pattern toward unsettled weather likely for NJ metro

Latest post: 9:10am

Weather update:
Today will see an increase in clouds, with some peeks of sun later on as well. There could be a passing shower, particularly for northern and western areas of the Garden state. Highs this afternoon top out in the mid- to upper 70s, but 80 degrees is again a possibility, if more peeks of sun shine through.
Tonight is expected to be partly cloudy, with, once again, a passing shower around. Patchy fog will develop as well. Lows fall into the 60s for most areas.

The weekend is forecast to see more clouds than sun. The pattern for Saturday and Sunday is such that a few scattered showers will be around, but this opportunity is a low one (20%-30% chance), and outdoor plans should continue...
Temperatures are expected to at least reach the mid- to upper 70s, but can reach 80 degrees if the peeks of sun stay out long enough each afternoon.

*** A slow arrival of a weather front, along with the remnants of tropical storm Karen, will provide our area with our best chance for wet weather. ***
The time frame for the cold front would be late Monday and Monday night, which is forecast to stall over our area, allowing the moisture from Karen, to track along this front on Tuesday.
*** The weather models have actually come into LESS agreement as per their recent data. A variety of scenarios with the front, and the track of Karen, are currently being suggested.

If the closest track occurs, our area could see 1 - 2 inches of rain, particularly on Tuesday. This storm will have lost all its tropical characteristics by this time, and wind will not be a factor.

Another update will be issued later today or tonight.

Tropical storm Karen

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