Thursday, October 17, 2013

6:10pm metro NJ radar update



A few sprinkles, or a light shower will be entering western and northern New Jersey between 6:30 and 7pm...

Satellite weather update for NJ metro

Latest post: 12:00pm -- 10/17/2013

I am thinking the brightest opportunity for the NJ/NYC/ Long Island metro area will be between 2 - 4 pm.
The weather system to our south continues to show signs of tracking west of our area tonight.... So, low impacts can be expected.

If you are traveling to, or from the Pittsburgh region, or to the Catskills/Poconos -- these locations can experience some steady rain later this afternoon and this evening.

Showers will arrive here between 8 and 9pm.
Rainfall amounts will range between .10 - .20 (one-tenth to one-fifth) of an inch of rain -- with the lower amounts for the NJ coast, NYC, as well as Long island, and the higher amount in northwest NJ.

The weather system is a quick-mover, and the threat to get wet will be already be over between 2am - 4am Friday morning.

Radar images will be watched tonight to post any changes as necessary.




Thursday morning weather update for NJ metro



Latest post: 9:00am -- 10/17/2013

Waiting for the next weather system to arrive tonight...
In the meantime, clouds and sun can be expected this afternoon, with highs between 70 and 75 degrees.

Showers arrive around 8 or 9pm...
The track does not favor heavy rain for our region.

My previous post mentioned between .10 - .25 (one-tenth to one-quarter) of an inch of rain.  I will maintain this prediction based on last night's and the early Thursday morning weather maps.

An update on this, and the weekend forecast, in my next post.



Wednesday night weather update for NJ metro

*** Correction made to range in expected rainfall for Thursday night ***

Weather update: Compared to the afternoon models, the night-time data is not indicating a direct track toward our area with the next weather system.
In addition, it is shown to be moving at an even quicker pace...
What all this most likely means is showers arrive between 8pm and 9pm Thursday night, but in a more scattered nature, and it is expected to end between 2am  - 4am Friday morning, which is a few hours earlier than previously forecast.

Rainfall amounts should range only between *** .10 - .25 inches ***.

Another update will be posted on Thursday.







Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Weekend forecast weather video for NJ metro



Video is from around 5pm -- 10/16/2013

Two weather systems to arrive for NJ metro today and tomorrow

Latest post: 12:30pm -- 10/16/2013

Weather update for Thursday night and Friday:

The weakening cold front will only produce a scattered shower or two later today and tonight. It will then stall near the area tomorrow...


This will allow the low pressure system down to our south to move north, toward us, bringing us a better chance to get wet.

Clouds may start off the day, with the afternoon staying rain-free, with partly sunny skies. Highs tomorrow will be in the 70s for much of the area.

By Thursday night, showers are likely -- beginning around 8 or 9pm -- continuing through much of the night. A period of stead rain is possible as well.
The wet weather will end between 4 and 5am early Friday morning, so the commute into work will be dry.

The rest of Friday is expected to be mainly sunny, with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

The weekend forecast will be updated in my next post.




Is there rain in the forecast for NJ metro?

Latest post: 10/16/2013 -- 8:55am 

An approaching weather front has turned our skies gray today...

This front will continue to weaken, and there may even be some peeks of the sun, as high temperatures reach the upper 60s to around 70 degrees.
There can also be a passing, light shower this afternoon. This is only a 20% chance. 
A low threat for wet weather continues for tonight. Some patchy fog and drizzle is possible as well. Lows drop into the upper 50s.

Tomorrow will start off with clouds, patchy fog, and drizzle. Partly sunny skies are forecast for the afternoon. Temperatures turn warmer on Thursday, reaching between 72 and 76 degrees for most areas.
There is a better chance for showers Thursday night...

More on these details, and our weekend forecast, in my next post.