Saturday, February 1, 2014

Important Saturday afternoon weather update for NJ metro

Latest post: 3:20pm -- 2/1/2014

After snowy and very cold temperatures were with us through most of last month, February has started off with mild and dry weather...

Clouds will limit sunshine at times this afternoon, but precipitation is not expected. Temperatures for most areas will top out in the mid- to upper 40s, but for those locations that see a bit more sunshine, 50 degrees is a possibility.
Tonight is expected to be mainly cloudy, along with some patchy fog. Some light rain and drizzle will be around after midnight.
Lows fall into the upper 20s to the mid- 30s.

Sunday morning can see some light showers, with areas of fog.
Temperatures begin the day in the mid- to upper 30s.
Sun and clouds are expected through lunch-time. There is a 30% chance of a passing shower. Temperatures top out in the upper 40s to around 50 degrees.

A cold front will be approaching Sunday afternoon and evening...

Between 4pm and 7pm, some more showers may try to sneek in to northwestern and northern New Jersey.... and the southward progress will need to be monitored for the Super Bowl at game-time...
Any scattered, light showers will end around 9pm.

This front will stall over, or just east of our area Sunday night...
Colder air follows... with temperatures dropping into the 30s after midnight.
A weather disturbance is likely to bring a mix of rain/snow, changing to snow on Monday...
Highs remain steady, or fall, from the mid- to lower 30s.

*** Nw post added 5:30pm -- 2/1/2014 ***

** Moderate to high chance of accumulating snow Monday **
Weather models, in general, have agreed on a further north track of the weather system in the south tomorrow, tracking into NJ metro late Sunday night, into the day on Monday...

Temperatures will be near 50 on Sunday, and will only fall slowly into the 30s late Sunday night...

Precipitation should arrive between 5am - 7am Monday...
However, temperatures may only be cold enough aloft supporting snow, with some ground  melting occurring for a while until snow begins to fall steadily enough, or if temperatures drop close enough to the freezing mark.

As of this post, I am thinking a general 1 to 3 inches -- but believe these accumulations would mainly be on grassy surfaces, and secondary roads.
The temperatures during Monday will dictate if snow can stick to the main roads and highways.
The snow will end by late afternoon.

** Another update on the snow will be issued by 11:30pm tonight **

Tuesday is expected to see increasing clouds, as a stronger storm approaches the area Tuesday night and Wednesday. In general, snow may arrive late Tuesday night, but is forecast to change to rain on Wednesday.

My next post will also discuss this as well.

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