Tuesday, November 6, 2012

New Nor'easter back on track for New Jersey

New Nor'Easter update: The weather models appear to have settled into a common storm track - which will have a number of weather impacts for the NJ/NYC/Long Island area... rain/wind/and... snow.
The most recent data points to a track that will NOT be out to sea, and rather a closer-to-the coast scenario. This means that rain and wind are now pretty much a certainty for the above-mentioned areas -- with a good chance of seeing some falling snow, and minimal accumulations. 
The timeline is around 8am Wednesday for southern NJ, moving north into the rest of NJ, NYC and Long Island by around 10am-Noon.

The areas that will see the heaviest rain will be extreme southern NJ, and Eastern Long Island, where 2 to 3 inches of rain is likely, along with wind gusts over 50mph -- This also includes shore areas from Sandy Hook and points south.
60mph wind gusts are possible on extreme Eastern Long Island.

For Central and Northern NJ, as well as NYC, 1 - 1.5 inches of rain along with 40-50 mph wind gusts are likely. This includes the Jersey shore, from Sandy hook points North, as well as all waterways around NYC and Long Island.

Also included in this storm is the chance for snow. From Monmouth county NJ and points south, as well as Long Island, snow is not likely. For the rest of the Garden state, 1 inch amounts are possible, with up to 3 -inch amounts also not out of the question for counties North and West of Middlesex and Mercer counties. New York City might see some snow falling, but should melt on the city streets.

This is a very complex storm, and more updates will be posted.

Important to note: Scattered power outages, and downed trees are possible in all areas, especially for Eastern Lon Island.
Storm surge will be an issue for all shore areas during the time of high tide.

No comments:

Post a Comment